Will the price of new energy battery cabinets continue to drop

We expect to see battery storage prices continue to decline in 2025, even as raw material prices rise, due to the oversupply of battery production. The rapid growth of battery manufacturing, particularly in China and Europe, has outpaced demand, which is exerting downward pressure on pricing.

Around the beginning of this year, BloombergNEF (BNEF) released its annual Battery Storage System Cost Survey, which found that global average turnkey energy storage system prices had fallen 40% from 2023 numbers to US$165/kWh in 2024.

According to BloombergNEF's (BNEF) latest Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) Report, the global benchmark cost for battery storage projects dropped by a third in 2024 to USD 104 per megawatt-hour (MWh), largely due to an oversupply of battery packs caused by slowing electric vehicle sales.

In the current year, batteries are expected to fall below USD 100 per MWh, while global benchmarks for wind and solar generation are seen to decline by 4% and 2%, respectively. Image: BNEF

In early summer 2023, publicly available prices ranged from 0.8 to 0.9 RMB/Wh ($0.11 to $0.13 USD/Wh), or about $110 to 130/kWh. Pricing initially fell by about a third by the end of summer 2023. Now, as reported by CnEVPost, large EV battery buyers are acquiring cells at 0.4 RMB/Wh, representing a price decline of 50%to 56%.

We are in the midst of a year-long acceleration in the decline of battery cell prices, a trend that is reminiscent of recent solar cell price reductions. Since last summer, lithium battery cell pricing has plummeted by approximately 50%, according to Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Limited (CATL), the world's largest battery manufacturer.