Energy storage e-price in 2025

As we look ahead to 2024, energy storage system (ESS) costs are expected to undergo significant changes. Currently, the average cost remains above $300/kWh for four-hour duration systems, primarily due to rising raw material prices since 2017.

In 2025, you're looking at an average cost of about $152 per kilowatt-hour (kWh) for lithium-ion battery packs, which represents a 7% increase since 2021. Energy storage systems (ESS) for four-hour durations exceed $300/kWh, marking the first price hike since 2017, largely driven by escalating raw material costs and supply chain disruptions.

We expect to see battery storage prices continue to decline in 2025, even as raw material prices rise, due to the oversupply of battery production. The rapid growth of battery manufacturing, particularly in China and Europe, has outpaced demand, which is exerting downward pressure on pricing.

Energy storage system costs for four-hour duration systems exceed $300/kWh for the first time since 2017. Rising raw material prices, particularly for lithium and nickel, contribute to increased energy storage costs. Fixed operation and maintenance costs for battery systems are estimated at 2.5% of capital costs.

Meanwhile, entering the traditional off-season for energy storage in the first quarter of 2025, many battery makers are likely to reduce production. According to TrendForce, combined with relatively stable material costs, ESS battery prices in January are forecast to remain steady.

The long-term cost outlook for energy storage systems looks promising, with substantial reductions in capital expenditures expected over the next decade. For a 60MW 4-hour battery system, CAPEX reductions range from 18% to 52% between 2022 and 2035, depending on the scenario.