The North American electric grid faces intensifying reliability risks over the next decade as demand growth driven by data centers and artificial intelligence threatens to outpace resource additions, according to the 2025 Long-Term Reliability Assessment (LTRA) released Jan. The five-year forecast of U. utility peak load growth has increased from 24 gigawatts in 2022 to 166 gigawatts in 2025 — by nearly a factor of seven in just three years. Much of the higher estimate is due to data center development, which is expected to account for 90 gigawatts of the new peak. Over the past three years, the 5-year forecast of utility peak load growth has increased by more than a factor of six, from 24 GW to 166 GW. By 2030, forecasts indicate that total electricity use will increase by 32%. 29 by the North. built the methodology and analysis upon the best data that was available. However, entities responsible for the maintenance and operation of the grid have access to a range of data and insights that could further enhance the robustness of reliability decis with DOE through mechanisms such as.
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